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Oscars - Predictions

This combination photo shows scenes from six Oscar nominated films, from left, "Little Women," "Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood," "Ford v. Ferrari," "Parasite," "Joker," and "1917." The Oscars will be held on Sunday, Feb. 9. (Sony/Sony/20th Century Fox/Neon/Warner Bros/Universal Pictures via AP)

The Nominees: “Ford v Ferrari,” “The Irishman,” “Jojo Rabbit,” “Joker,” “Little Women,” “Marriage Story,” “1917,” “Once Upon a Time ... in Hollywood,” “Parasite”

Will Win: “Parasite”

Should Win: “Parasite”

Should Have Been a Contender: “The Last Black Man in San Francisco”

The last-arriving contender, Sam Mendes' World War I film “1917,” has seemingly, fittingly run away with it. The top-prize winner of the Producers Guild, the Directors Guild and the BAFTAs, “1917” is the clear favorite. But I think Bong Joon Ho's universally beloved “Parasite" could pull off an upset that would rank alongside the underdog win of “Moonlight” three years ago.

Taking best ensemble from the Screen Actors Guild showed that “Parasite” has perhaps the most important vote in the actors (they make up the largest percentage of the film academy), and academy membership has also grown more international in recent years. The time may be right for the first foreign-language film to win best picture, and “Parasite” deserves it.

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